International Monetary Fund (IMF) ne duniya ki economy ke liye apni expectations kam kar di hain. IMF ka kehna hai ki Middle East mein chal rahi jang ne global economic momentum ko rok diya hai, jiski wajah se ab growth pehle se kam hone ka anumaan hai.
IMF ne growth forecast mein kya kami ki?
IMF ne apne naye anumaan mein 2026 ke liye global economic growth 3.1% bataya hai. Fortune ke mutabiq, yeh forecast January mein bataye gaye 3.3% se kam hai. Iska matlab hai ki IMF ab duniya ki economy ke itni tezi se nahi badhne ki umeed kar raha hai. 2025 mein abhi bhi 3.4% growth hone ka anumaan hai, lekin 2026 mein yeh speed thandi padne wali hai.
Middle East ki jang ka asar kya hua?
IMF ne is forecast ko kam karne ka sabse bada karan Middle East ke war ko bataya hai. Is jang ne oil aur gas ke daam duniya bhar mein tezi se badha diye hain. Fortune ki report ke mutabiq, Iran par US aur Israel ke strikes, aur Strait of Hormuz band hone ki wajah se energy ki supply affect hui hai. Isi wajah se petrol-diesel ke daam badhe hain, jo poori duniya ki economy par bhaari pad raha hai.
Inflation ka khatra bhi badh gaya
Jang ki wajah se sirf growth hi nahi ruki, balki mehengaai ka khatra bhi badh gaya hai. IMF ne ab 2026 ke liye global inflation ka anumaan 4.4% kar diya hai. Fortune ke mutabiq, yeh January ke 3.8% ke forecast se kaafi zyada hai. Iska matlab hai ki cheezein aur services pehle se zyada mehengi hone wali hain, jo aam aadmi ki jeb par asar daalegi.
Hamaari Baat: Ek war poori duniya ki economy duba sakti hai
IMF ki yeh report ek aisi sachhai ko ujaagar karti hai jise hum aksar bhool jaate hain: aaj ke globalized duniya mein ek region ki aag poori duniya ko jala sakti hai. Middle East ki jang sirf wahan tak seemit nahi rahi. Usne oil ke daam badha kar Europe, Asia, America — har jagah ke businesses aur consumers ko pareshan kar diya hai. IMF ka yeh step ek warning hai. Agar yeh jang jaldi khatam nahi hoti, toh recession ka khatra bhi ho sakta hai. Sarkaron ko chahiye ki woh is jang ko rokne ke liye diplomatic tareekon par dhyan dein, kyunki economic stability ab sirf economic policies se nahi, balki global peace se bhi judi hui hai. Aam aadmi ke liye yeh samay saving par dhyan dene aur apne kharchon ko control karne ka hai, kyunki aane wale waqt mein paisa tight ho sakta hai.
